Even if you have a business or a home that was not affected by the recent wildfires in Los Angeles, you will likely see a surcharge to help pay for them on your next property insurance policy renewal.
The state-run California FAIR Plan, which is the market of last resort when policyholders are unable to find coverage from private carriers, expects its total loss from the Palisades and Eaton fires to come in at $4 billion.
Under its charter and state law, if it exhausts its funds, the plan can surcharge all commercial property and homeowner’s insurers in the state after approval from the state insurance commissioner.
Commissioner Ricardo Lara approved the Fair Plan’s request in early February to surcharge insurers a total of $1 billion, which will be assessed depending on each insurer’s market share. Under state law, those carriers are allowed to pass half of their assessment on to their policyholders in the state. It’s unclear how much each policy will be surcharged, but the fee will partly be based on the size of each policyholder’s annual premium.
Without the assessment, the FAIR Plan would run out of funds by the end of March and be unable to pay all of the claims from the fires, as well as claims from unrelated or future events and operating expenses, including the cost of increasing staff to respond to the disaster.
The state of play
The L.A. fires are one of the costliest natural disasters in the history of the country. Consulting firm Milliman estimates that the wildfires will cost $23 billion to $39 billion in insured losses.
As of Feb. 11, the Fair Plan had paid out about $800 million in claims, leaving it with about $1.2 billion in cash on hand.
It has also tapped reinsurance, which is basically insurance for insurance companies. It has multiple layers of reinsurance, but it cannot access all of them until it spends more of its funds on claims. It now has access to the first tranche of coverage worth $350 million after it met its $900 million deductible.
The FAIR Plan can access additional layers of reinsurance based on the claims incurred and outstanding reserves up to a $5.78 billion limit. To access all layers of available reinsurance, the plan would have to pay out about $3.5 billion, including the $900 million deductible, and copays. That’s more than its cash in hand.
After accounting for its reinsurance package, the FAIR Plan expects to pay out $2.3 billion of the remaining $3.1 billion reserved for unpaid losses from the fires.
How it will affect your policy
To help the plan pay for the $1 billion shortfall, it will surcharge each property insurer in the state based on their market share two years prior to the assessment. Every carrier that sells commercial property and homeowner’s insurance in the state will be assessed.
Here are the market shares of the top 10 insurers in 2023, the year assessments will be based on:
- State Farm 19.7%
- Farmers 14.7%
- Liberty Mutual 6.5%
- CSAA 6.4%
- Mercury 6%
- Allstate 5.7%
- AAA of Southern California 5.5%
- USAA 5.3%
- Travelers 4.3%
- Nationwide 3.1%